क्या खर्च कट्स बचा सकते हैं अमेरिका?

पॉलिटिकल अरिथमेटिक का मिथक

मुझे लगता था कि fisc al policy ek heuristic hai—जो ideology में मुड़ा हुआ है, math nahi। Dave Lee का دعوأ—अगर Republicans spending cut kare, to survive honge—woh crypto portfolio ki infinite liquidity aur black swans ko ignore karne jais hai। Chicago quant labs mein hum daily stress-test karte hain। spreadsheets slogans par nahi chalti。

पॉलिटिक्स में zero-knowledge proofs

अगर aap voter sentiment ko Solidity ya Python se model karna chahte hain, to volatility metrics ko ignore karke? Asli sawal ye ‘Who spends less?’ nahi—ye hai ‘What breaks when correlation collapses?’ Maine dekha ki hedge funds collapse hue jab unki models ne yield curves ko ignore kiya। koi politician wishful thinking pe nahi chalta—bas algorithms hi survive karte hain।

The Dataset Doesn’t Lie

Coinbase pe hamari backtested simulations ne dikhaya: spending cuts without systemic risk modeling = guaranteed failure। data lie nahi karti kyunki isme emotions nahi hote। meri thesis? Agar aap America ko survive chahte hain, to partisan loyalty na puche—calibrated stress tests, dynamic delta hedging aur real-time entropy monitoring puche。