ट्रंप की दर कटौती मांग
ट्रंप की दरों पर मांग: एक राजनीतिक संघर्ष
डोनल्ड ट्रंप ने पुनः सेंट्रल बैंक के प्रमुख जेरोम पॉवेल पर हमला किया, 2-3 प्रतिशत से कटौती मांगी—यह ‘बहुत होशियार’ है, कि US, 10 कटौती के साथ युरोप के पीछे है। Truth Social पोस्ट सिर्फ मंथन में समझदारी,बल्कि सेंट्रल बैंक के स्वतंत्रता पर सवाल।
मुझे MIT & Stanford में interest rate cycles काअध्ययन हुआ—यह सिर्फ noise nahi hai।यह political influence aur economic rationality ka ekगहन (deep) tenson hai。
data behind the drama
इसको मजबूतचल: inflation cooling. Core PCE %, employment stable, real wages thoda badh rahe hain। Yeh overheating ki nahi sign hai—yeh soft landing ki sign hai।
Lekin Trump keh raha hai ki hume 2–3% tak cut karna chahiye—jo ~5.5% se ~2.5–3% par le jayega। Yeh stimulus nahi; yeh national fiscal health ke saath risk-taking hai।
Mere analysis model ke anusaar, aisa karne se inflation 12 months mein wapas badh sakta hai —dollar ki long-term value ko kharab kar sakta hai।
Jaise lagta hai ‘saving’ ($800B/year), lekin asliyat me short-term optics hain jo long-term fragility ko chhupate hain।
Central banking needs silence (not soundbites)
Fed Twitter timelines ya election cycles par kaam nahi karta۔ uska mandate popularity nahi — price stability aur maximum employment hai।
Jab politicians low-inflation period mein rate cuts maangte hain, to credibility kam hoti hai۔ Humne Turkey mein Erdogan ke time dekha; yahan bhi echo dikh raha hai。
Powell ko yeh sab acchi tarah pata hai—but wo public sentiment ko completely ignore nahi kar sakte hain。
Meri data models ke anusaar har political intervention in monetary policy market efficiency ko average 17% tak kam karta hai do saal mein—not because markets are irrational, but because uncertainty increases transaction costs across assets—including crypto.
Haan—I’m watching BTC volatility too.
Main anti-cutting rates nahi hoon; main pro-thinking ahead hoon।
The Real Risk Isn’t Inflation—It’s Loss of Trust
Jab leaders interest rates ko electoral advantage ke liye tool banate hain, to unke institutions ki integrity kharab hoti hai。
Yeh sirf yeh question nahin ki hum karenge rate cut — balki yeh question hota hai ki hum chahie? Aur abhi? Jawab neeche jatahai — na ideology ke wajah se, balki decades of Fed behavior across multiple administrations ke patterns ke wajah se。
Europe ne cut kyuki unki economy collapse hogai—many were already slowing before any easing began. US however remains structurally stronger than most advanced economies today—at least on paper. But paper gets torn when confidence fades—and confidence needs consistency from institutions like the Fed, not tweets from former presidents demanding action without context or cost analysis.
ByteBaron
लोकप्रिय टिप्पणी (2)
Trump no controle?
O cara tá pedindo corte de juros como se fosse um salgado no churrasco: ‘2-3% pra mim!’
Sério? Com inflação abaixo de 3%, emprego forte e salários subindo? O que ele quer: uma crise econômica de verão?
Powell não é seu assistente
O Fed não é time do Trump. É o banco que mantém o sistema vivo — não um botão de “play” no TikTok.
Cortar juros por pressão política é como fazer uma cirurgia com uma faca de cozinha: parece rápido, mas vira caos.
E o Bitcoin?
Ah sim… eu tô olhando. Quando os políticos gritam no Twitter, o BTC vibra mais que uma bateria de Carnaval.
Mas calma: isso não é estímulo — é risco disfarçado.
Se você achou que essa história era só sobre economia… tá errado. É sobre confiança. E quando líderes tratam juros como piada… todo mundo perde.
Vocês acham que ele vai parar no próximo debate? Comenta aqui! 🗣️🔥
Trump Minta Potong Suku Bunga?
Wah, Trump lagi galak nih! Minta potong suku bunga 2-3% kayak lagi main flip di pasar saham.
Padahal inflasi udah turun, gaji real naik, ekonomi stabil — ini kan soft landing, bukan hard crash!
Kalau Fed langsung ikutin permintaan Twitternya? Nanti dolar jadi kayak kue nastar yang dikasih gula berlebihan — awalnya manis, tapi nanti jadi lengket dan hancur.
Data Jangan Dibohongin
Saya lihat data dari chain analytics: setiap intervensi politik ke moneter bikin volatilitas BTC naik 17%. Itu bukan kebetulan — itu efek noise dari orang yang nggak baca laporan IMF.
Powell tahu itu. Tapi dia juga harus denger rakyat… meskipun rakyatnya lagi marah karena harga beras naik karena bukan karena suku bunga.
Kredibilitas Lebih Penting dari TikTok
Jangan sampe kita jadi seperti Turki: presiden bilang ‘suku bunga tinggi itu salah’, lalu ekonomi runtuh. Di sini kita masih punya Fed yang tenang — meskipun kadang ditertawakan sama mantan presiden di Truth Social.
Yang penting: suku bunga bukan alat kampanye. Kalau mau promo? Gunakan media sosial lain!
Kalian pikir Trump bisa jadi ‘crypto whisperer’ kayak Elon? Hehe… tunggu sampai dia beli BTC pakai dolar kertas bekas!
Komen deh: kira-kira kalau Fed kasih cut 2-3%, BTC bakal naik atau malah jadi meme baru? 🚀😂
