Hong Kong’s Stablecoin Licensing: Why Only a Handful Will Make the Cut (Spoiler: It’s Not a Participation Trophy)

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Hong Kong’s Stablecoin Licensing: Why Only a Handful Will Make the Cut (Spoiler: It’s Not a Participation Trophy)

Hong Kong’s Stablecoin Crackdown: Quality Over Quantity

Let’s cut through the hype: Hong Kong’s Monetary Authority (HKMA) isn’t handing out stablecoin licenses like free samples at a crypto conference. CEO Yu Weiwen recently admitted that while “everyone wants to be a stablecoin issuer,” the regulator will likely approve only a select few—so few that “you won’t need two hands to count them.”

As someone who’s designed Bitcoin derivatives at CME and survived three bear markets, here’s my take: this is how regulation should work. The HKMA’s sandbox isn’t a guaranteed path to licensure—it’s a stress test separating the algorithmic wheat from the speculative chaff.

The Math Behind the Cull

Why the exclusivity? Three data points matter:

  1. Reserve Audits: Real-time proof of 1:1 backing isn’t optional. (Looking at you, Tether skeptics.)
  2. Bank-Level Compliance: AML/KYC protocols stricter than a Swiss private bank.
  3. Stress Testing: Can your stablecoin survive a Black Swan event? Most can’t.

The HKMA knows what failed stablecoins (ahem, TerraUSD) did to retail investors. Their approach mirrors the Swiss banking model: fewer players, higher trust. For institutional traders like my hedge fund clients, this selectivity reduces counterparty risk—a win for DeFi’s credibility.

The Sandbox Reality Check

Don’t mistake HKMA’s sandbox for approval-in-progress. Projects testing there face fresh evaluations later. Translation: Passing the sandbox is like getting into Harvard—it doesn’t guarantee you’ll graduate.

My prediction? Over 80% of current applicants will wash out when faced with Basel III-level capital requirements. The survivors? Probably regulated banks and fintech giants with existing HKMA relationships.

What This Means for Traders

Forget moonboys dreaming of 20+ licensed stablecoins flooding Hong Kong. We’re looking at 3–5 max, likely USD/HKD pegs first. This scarcity will:

  • Boost demand for licensed stablecoins (expect premium liquidity)
  • Pressure unregulated alternatives (sorry, USDT offshore users)
  • Accelerate institutional adoption (finally, clean collateral)

Bottom line: The HKMA is treating stablecoins like systemic infrastructure—not casino chips. And frankly, after Celsius and FTX, it’s about time.

ChiCryptoQuant

Likes57.54K Fans2.86K

Hot comment (5)

Rồng Crypto
Rồng CryptoRồng Crypto
1 month ago

Stablecoin Hong Kong: Cuộc Chiến Khốc Liệt

HKMA không phải là nơi phát hành stablecoin như phát kẹo tại hội nghị crypto đâu! Chỉ vài ‘kẻ may mắn’ sẽ được cấp phép, ít đến mức đếm trên đầu ngón tay. 😂

Tiêu Chuẩn Khắc Nghiệt

1:1 dự trữ? AML/KYC gắt hơn cả ngân hàng Thụy Sĩ? Stress test đủ sống sót qua ‘Black Swan’? Rõ ràng HKMA không đùa, và TerraUSD là bài học xương máu.

Dự Đoán Của Tôi

80% ứng viên sẽ ‘bay màu’ vì Basel III. Chỉ còn lại vài ông lớn fintech hoặc ngân hàng. USDT offshore users, chuẩn bị tinh thần nhé!

Các bạn nghĩ sao? Comment ‘🚀’ nếu bạn tin mình sẽ sống sót trong cuộc đua này!

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Blöckchenrechner

Nur die Härtesten überleben

Die HKMA verteilt Stablecoin-Lizenzen wie Harvard-Abschlüsse – die meisten scheitern kläglich! Wer denkt, hier gäbe es Teilnahmeurkunden, hat die Rechnung ohne die Schweizer-Bank-Level-Compliance gemacht.

Mathematik der Auslese

1:1-Reserven? Check. AML/KYC strenger als Omas Hausordnung? Check. Black-Swan-Test bestanden? Eher nicht. TerraUSD lässt grüßen!

Fazit für Trader

Freut euch auf 3-5 stabile Coins – mehr wird’s nicht. Der Rest? Tschüssikowski! Wer jetzt noch USDT nutzt, dem ist echt nicht mehr zu helfen.

Was meint ihr? Wer schafft’s ins Regulatory-Valhalla?

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QuantumBloom
QuantumBloomQuantumBloom
1 month ago

Only the Strongest Survive

Hong Kong’s stablecoin license race makes Squid Game look like kindergarten recess! The HKMA isn’t handing out participation medals - they’re basically hosting the financial Olympics where 99% of applicants will faceplant at the Basel III high jump.

My Quant-Approved Bet

After stress-testing this like a DeFi protocol, my money’s on:

  1. Banks cosplaying as crypto projects (hello, CBDC Trojan horses)
  2. Firms that can prove reserves without creative accounting (RIP Tether fanboys)

This regulatory Thunderdome approach? Exactly what crypto needs after the TerraUSD clown show. Place your bets below - which stablecoin gladiators will leave the sandbox alive? 💸

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КриптоБарон

Гонконг раздает лицензии на стабикоины как Нобелевские премии

HKMA явно решил, что стабикоины - это не конфетки на Хэллоуин. Всего 3-5 счастливчиков получат одобрение - даже пальцев на двух руках хватит, чтобы пересчитать!

Как специалист в крипте скажу: это правильный подход. После истории с TerraUSD регуляторы научились отличать “алгоритмическую пшеницу” от “спекулятивных плевел”.

А вы как думаете - кому достанется этот крипто-Оскар?

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